Saturday, June 29, 2013

Is the AFL really a threat in Western Sydney?


I hope everyone is having a fabulous start to the weekend! I know I breathed a sigh of relief when I remembered Parramatta had the bye this weekend… it’s certainly nice to know that you have 2 points in the bag.

The topic of my post today is one that I have been thinking about quite a bit lately and one which gets media attention every so often. My question revolves around the AFL and whether it really is a threat to Rugby League heartland – namely Sydney’s Western Suburbs. I would argue that over the last 10 years the NRL has become arrogant and has failed to put enough money into, has failed to recognise the importance of and has not worked hard enough to develop its product in its heartland – the West.

Whatever your views on the AFL, it cannot be questioned that its leader, Andrew Demetriou is one of the most well respected and professional men in Australia. In his time as executive officer of the AFL, he has made sure that the AFL and all its projects have been well funded and well resourced. The ultimate goal is obviously for AFL to be the number one sport in Australia. The AFL certainly has the resources to do this – it is the wealthiest sport in Australia with revenue of approximately $425 million per year.

For the AFL the strategy has certainly been focused on expansion – seen with the introduction of 2 new teams, being the greater Western Sydney Giants and the Gold Coast Suns.

In order to ensure the success of these two clubs, the AFL has allowed them a number of concessions – this includes salary cap allowances, draft concessions and allowing these clubs to obtain the services of players uncontracted from other clubs. This allowed GWS to poach Tom Scully and allowed the Gold Coast Suns to secure the services of Gary Ablett. The AFL are also willing to invest. To use Western Sydney as an example , the AFL made a $200 million dollar investment in this area, including its Centre of Excellence and Skoda Stadium.

It cannot be said that the plans to expand have not been controversial. Match day crowds have averaged less than 7000 this year at Skoda.  Further, much in the same way that many NRL fans feel like the expansion into Victoria is folly, not everyone in the AFL is on board. For example. Jeff Kennett recently made the comment that the AFL expansion into Sydney will ‘never work’ and that continuing was akin to ‘Gallipoli’.

I do feel like however, that while the performance of these two teams can be criticised now, irrespective of crowd and membership numbers this year, this plan for expansion is long term and will not be judged on its success over the next couple of years.  The AFL is willing to use both teams as a ‘loss leader’ in order to achieve its ultimate goal – being expansion into Western Sydney. Demetriou is passionate about these two teams succeeding.

I have watched GWS play and I think that they are spirited, committed and extremely talented. This talent, I believe will be showcased in the next 2-3 years and it might be at this point that the AFL finally begins to see its investment pay off.

The key point to remember and that is sometimes forgotten is that the AFL isn’t really interested in converting people like you or I. My love for the Eels and for NRL is eternal. While I enjoy AFL and support the Swans, there will never be another team for me like the Eels. The AFL is targeting the next generation because they know that if kids grow up playing AFL, watching AFL and being exposed to AFL, AFL will become their sport of choice.

One area which I think is key is the youth. The numbers of kids playing AFL are heavily debated. While last year it was claimed that the number of kids playing AFL had increased by 27 per cent in a year, this was heavily criticised by Roy Masters last year: http://www.smh.com.au/afl/afl-news/study-slams-afls-takeup-figures-in-west-20121023-283jn.html.

There is concern amongst parents in regard to the heavy contact in NRL and the focus on the physicality of NRL has certainly been in the media lately following the punch ons happening. AFL does offer an alternative. Many NRL commentators have written about the difficulty the NRL faces at a junior level because of disparity in size between different children. Smaller kids often make the switch to AFL and become midfielders.  The AFL also spends an incredible amount of money developing programs for schools and visiting schools.

I feel like the NRL needs to stop depending on tradition to ensure that it remains strong in the West.  We need to invest in our Stadiums, in our Juniors and stop thinking that the AFL is a problem that is just going to go away.

 As always, your thoughts are welcome.

Love,

@LadiesWhoLeague

9 comments:

  1. While the AFL will continue to compete with NRL for hearts and minds i think the biggest threat in western sydney is soccer (A League). In 1 year the Wanderers have managed to sell out Parra Stadium on the back of on field success, good marketing and a sport that parents see as 'safe' for their kids. The upcoming World Cup in Brazil and the Socceroos qualification will only lift the interest in soccer higher.

    The Parra Eels must look at the Wanderers crowd numbers and only wish for that level of support. Yes long time frustrated Eels supporter here !

    Cheers
    Dave

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    1. Agree agree agree Dave.

      The reason I didn't really include the Wanderer's in my analysis above was because they play at a different time to the Eels. Thank goodness for that or I feel like we would have a real battle on our hands!

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  2. Great read Mary.

    At a professional level, I think the NRL is safe in Western Sydney. Football is the code that will be the problem, if any.

    The AFL wanted 2 teams in each town for rivalry. The thing that GWS have done wrong is claimed they own the west, ignorant, whereas the Wanderers have simply asked for help.

    Gold Coast Suns are doing well on the field because they seem to concentrate on their on field performance. GWS seem to worry about publicity.

    As for junior sports - AFL is on the climb, big time.

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    1. Well said Brad! :) Thanks for your support of the blog, we think you are fab!

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  3. AFL is wasting their time in Western Sydney ! The very few fans they have are former Swans fans living out west I don't think they have brought many new fans to their game at all.

    The real player out Western Sydney is the Wanderers ! If the A-League continue run the club right they will be biggest team in Western Sydney ..... Any Parramatta, Bulldogs, Penrith or Tigers fan who likes soccer is a Wanderers fans while the NRL is splitting up the fans, crowds and membership in at least 4 different teams the A-League has it all in Wanderers which is going to make all their numbers very high and soccer has by far the biggest junior participation of any of the Football codes

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  4. @Michael

    Did you even read the blog? The AFL aren't targeting you. They are targeting the youth. Its this sort of short-sighted viewpoint that will result in NRL losing ground to the AFL. Yes the Wanderers did well. But AFL HQ aren't thinking about 2013. They're thinking about 2023 and beyond.

    The GWS crowd numbers have been poor, but ironically they're not too much smaller (if at all) to the usual NRL numbers. The GWS crowd numbers are only down by AFL standards, which has a great history of pulling in big crowds unlike the NRL.

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    1. Yes I did, it was a great blog from Mary but did you click on the link ? ..... Reality versus Perception Gap'', the report's author, David Lawson, notes: ''The reality is that junior club maturity and participation numbers appear to have stalled. There are 6 [per cent] less junior/youth players in 2012 than in 2009."

      Soccer is that far in front of all the other codes when it comes to junior participate but it always lost momentum at the top end. Now with the success of the Wanderers and Soccerroo that is all changing.

      The GWS are not growing the game with the kids out in Western Sydney as much as they want you to believe IMO

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  6. Hi Mary,

    Some very good points you make and even though I haven’t been to Western Sydney since the 2000 Olympics I hope you‘re OK with my input into this discussion.

    The AFL’s push into areas beyond the “Barassi Line” started back 1982 when the South Melbourne Football Club relocated to the Harbour City becoming the Sydney Swans. For a long time this appeared to be a failed venture until the Swans’ success was confirmed in 2005 when they broke their 72 year premiership drought, while receiving a similar salary cap concession to GWS of $900,000 per year.

    In 2013 the Swans are now once again the defending Premiers of the competition with 33,000+ members and are considered one of the most respected teams in the AFL on and off the field. But have the Swans taken fans away from NRL clubs around their established area? I’m not from Sydney so I can’t answer that accurately but from what I can see NRL clubs in the Eastern suburbs like Sydney Roosters and South Sydney Rabbitohs appear to be doing fine.

    In the year 2023 I personally don’t see the GWS Giants stealing all of the NRL club’s future fans based in Sydney’s West. It is Australia’s biggest city and is only getting bigger, so by the time GWS is a success story (like cross town pioneers the Swans), Sydney’s Greater Metropolitan will be big enough to support everyone. To date Sydney already has:
    - 9 NRL Teams (not including Newcastle)
    - 2 A-League teams (not including Central Coast & Newcastle)
    - 2 AFL teams
    - 1 Super Rugby Team

    On the contrary I would agree with you Mary that the NRL should invest more into Rugby League at a community level and not just in Sydney. Nationally while the AFL has introduced two new teams and made investments like you’ve already mentioned, the NRL has stood completely still. Have they considered fighting fire with fire venturing into AFL areas like Perth and Adelaide? I know there have already been failed attempts at this with the Adelaide Rams and Perth Reds but times have changed and it might be a feasible option to look into.

    So in conclusion I do the Greater Western Sydney Giants will become very successful on and off the field but not at the expense of the existing NRL clubs in Sydney’s West. This is only from my perspective so an apology if anything I said wasn’t entirely accurate.

    Ben.

    PS: Tell the Swans to go easy on the Dees this weekend ;)

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